Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.181308 0.194985 0.209395 0.225743 0.243819 0.263242 0.285755
2025-12-28 0.159310 0.179337 0.201760 0.228893 0.261056 0.298242 0.344894
2026-01-04 0.145092 0.168683 0.196271 0.231271 0.275001 0.328529 0.400104
2026-01-11 0.133829 0.159494 0.190540 0.231431 0.284745 0.353168 0.449781
2026-01-18 0.123001 0.149472 0.182361 0.227007 0.287286 0.367768 0.486824
2026-01-25 0.113316 0.139924 0.173722 0.220777 0.286221 0.376637 0.516001
2026-02-01 0.105989 0.132772 0.167481 0.216935 0.287630 0.388494 0.550202
2026-02-08 0.099298 0.125950 0.161094 0.212195 0.287054 0.396999 0.579750
2026-02-15 0.093894 0.120476 0.156102 0.208901 0.288063 0.407611 0.613467
2026-02-22 0.090946 0.118135 0.155208 0.211295 0.297540 0.431856 0.672499
2026-03-01 0.087165 0.114395 0.152072 0.210079 0.301238 0.447064 0.717678
2026-03-08 0.083376 0.110430 0.148354 0.207670 0.302746 0.458631 0.757562
2026-03-15 0.078975 0.105476 0.143068 0.202724 0.300109 0.463505 0.786755
2026-03-22 0.077395 0.104519 0.143611 0.206867 0.312732 0.496084 0.874990
2026-03-29 0.075445 0.102903 0.143047 0.209167 0.322383 0.524344 0.959343
2026-04-05 0.073109 0.100589 0.141273 0.209340 0.328296 0.546242 1.033921
2026-04-12 0.069973 0.096925 0.137220 0.205469 0.326679 0.553537 1.077076
2026-04-19 0.066681 0.092890 0.132395 0.200005 0.321734 0.553771 1.103827
2026-04-26 0.064079 0.089806 0.128927 0.196631 0.320351 0.560937 1.148441
2026-05-03 0.061466 0.086604 0.125129 0.192466 0.317160 0.564046 1.183517
2026-05-10 0.059283 0.083989 0.122159 0.189569 0.316145 0.571567 1.231317
2026-05-17 0.058270 0.083166 0.122046 0.191675 0.324909 0.600878 1.343110
2026-05-24 0.056670 0.081350 0.120223 0.190605 0.327320 0.616493 1.420333